.Sergio Ermotti, president of UBS GroupStefan Wermuth|Bloomberg|Getty ImagesZURICH, Switzerland Double A u00b7 UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti said Wednesday that market dryness might magnify in the second one-half of the year, but he carries out certainly not believe the U.S. is actually moving right into a recession.Global equities saw sharp auctions recently as capitalists digested unstable economical information out of the united state which increased fears concerning an economic downturn around the world's most extensive economic situation. It likewise questioned regarding whether the Federal Get required to be a lot less hawkish along with its financial plan posture. The central bank always kept rates on hold in overdue July at a 23-year high.When asked about the outlook for the united state economy, Ermotti mentioned: "Not necessarily an economic crisis, however certainly a lag is actually achievable."" The macroeconomic indications are actually not clear sufficient to speak about economic crises, and also actually, it's most likely untimely. What we know is actually that the Fed possesses enough capability to intervene as well as help that, although it's going to require time, whatever they do to become then sent right into the economic condition," the CEO said to CNBC on Wednesday after the financial institution disclosed its own second-quarter results.UBS anticipates that the Federal Reserve are going to cut fees through at least 50 manner factors this year. Right now, traders are actually split between a fifty as well as a 25 manner factor cut at the Fed's upcoming conference in September, according to LSEG data.Speaking to CNBC, Ermotti claimed that our team are actually likely to observe much higher market dryness in the 2nd fifty percent of the year, somewhat as a result of the united state election in November." That's one factor, yet additionally, if I look at the general geopolitical picture, if I examine the macroeconomic photo, what we saw in the last couple of full weeks in terms of dryness, which, in my standpoint, is actually a clear indicator of the frailty of some aspects of the device, u00e2 $ u00a6 one should count on certainly a higher level of dryness," he said.Another unpredictability moving forward is actually financial plan and whether central banks will certainly need to cut fees extra aggressively to battle a stagnation in the economic condition. In Switzerland, where UBS is headquartered, the central bank has cut prices two times this year. The International Central Bank and also the Financial Institution of England possess both revealed one slice thus far." Knowing the occasions which are theu00c2 unknowns imminent like the united state governmental vote-casting, our team ended up being obsequious with a very low volatility, right now our company are switching to a more normal routine," Bruno Verstraete, creator of Lakefield Wealth Management said to CNBC Wednesday." In the context of UBS, [even more dryness is actually] not necessarily a negative point, since more volatility suggests additional exchanging revenue," he added.